Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 68.265181 77.093191 86.158590 96.131343 106.762688 117.727440 129.861061
2025-03-30 55.608079 68.319550 81.989525 97.651690 114.974247 133.431648 154.471266
2025-04-06 46.755657 61.412336 77.744481 97.021668 118.898552 142.724808 170.412292
2025-04-13 39.001856 54.697578 72.792103 94.739500 120.220248 148.497933 181.891573
2025-04-20 35.804086 52.876350 73.080264 98.087893 127.602849 160.794417 200.429535
2025-04-27 32.537013 50.581076 72.486528 100.123906 133.240610 170.931377 216.387147
2025-05-04 28.520389 46.938385 69.927034 99.522476 135.543607 177.039834 227.581696
2025-05-11 24.902603 43.466579 67.295283 98.583195 137.235898 182.272160 237.628320
2025-05-18 22.421292 41.289422 66.120772 99.286433 140.779164 189.584050 250.024283
2025-05-25 19.757789 38.607033 64.093462 98.750883 142.677651 194.844342 259.936456
2025-06-01 17.713977 36.624985 62.847523 99.090543 145.560631 201.213778 271.110717
2025-06-08 15.428333 34.058359 60.639423 98.041211 146.598422 205.273837 279.474638
2025-06-15 14.141886 32.949489 60.408174 99.590308 150.949013 213.433059 292.859974
2025-06-22 13.043762 32.040589 60.394572 101.389344 155.601717 221.968411 306.727155
2025-06-29 11.369428 29.995737 58.618683 100.706990 156.991532 226.431600 315.632078
2025-07-06 9.464757 27.316561 55.741447 98.379034 156.139816 228.034079 320.994660
2025-07-13 9.118008 27.416320 57.016567 101.802160 162.808432 239.026477 337.849124
2025-07-20 8.494438 26.928803 57.353340 103.883795 167.699332 247.792498 351.987959
2025-07-27 7.355848 25.303949 55.834052 103.268948 168.968177 251.967818 360.460820
2025-08-03 6.271609 23.628616 54.130026 102.308684 169.715779 255.441884 368.038996
2025-08-10 5.599799 22.728240 53.615274 103.027641 172.693161 261.735955 379.110083
2025-08-17 4.784829 21.377051 52.277269 102.480124 173.912502 265.756661 387.336494
2025-08-24 4.191004 20.439589 51.572506 102.827377 176.323653 271.291328 397.448558